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Game Warcraft 3: The Full Story

Good list fella, here's where I'm at with finding town so far

Grammaton
Dr_Professor83
Dr. Watson
EkkoLoJinx
Ratchet
Sparkles

Sharter Holmes
Chuck
Alexis2282AE
Luka
GoddessBlade
Yoho
Flower - Jailor
RDK - Miller
Ultra
The X

MangoSenpai
Poyser
Cataclysm - Miller
Lethal
Pqwerty
guillo
Kurosaki Ichigo
Melkor
Why do you town-read RDK as opposed to townreading Cataclysm?
 
Now that I've broken my post restriction.

Ratchet is town.
Ichigo is town. Poyser went after them using circular reasoning that I've never seen from Poyser ever do.
Professor is town although I do not agree with his "tinfoil" on Ratchet.
Sparkles had been defending my gimmick as NAI and today she has been trying to frame it as AI, it is sus, but Grammatron kinda softed she is clear.
@GoddessBlade sort of softed that Poyser could not have been culted, why?
This mofo lol
 
So I've absolutely tried to see your perspective. I've given you explanations on things I differ with you on - some of that is due to greater familiarity, and some of that is due to having a different thought process. I have you as town, which should tell you that I am at least trying to reconcile your PoV.

This seems to be a hang up, so I'm going to explain what I mean with "abductive reasoning". There are 3 bases of reasoning - deduction, abduction and induction. Technically there are more, but those are the most relevant ones for Mafia. I typically associate town play with deductive and inductive reasoning. That is, letting the evidence guide your conclusions, and constructing theories based off of observation s that naturally follow. Abductive reasoning is a little different to this - it assumes the mostly likely outcome from a given observation. Likely, here, is relative. So the example here was "Ratchet is trolling". Because you had seen me as Town and not troll, your conclusion was "Ratchet is doing something he hasn't done as Town, therefore he is scum". So, in defence to that statement, I pointed out that just because you haven't seen me do it as town, does not mean I have never done it as town.

Generally, I associate force-fitting conclusions to scum. Naturally, scum have to employ fallacies on some level, so when I saw this argument, my initial position was to question it. But, when I gave it further consideration, I decided that the reasoning you employ, and the reasoning I employ, may not be the same kinds. So, my point of introducing abductive reasoning was to offer an explanation as to why I could see you constructing your point of view as town. I do not believe this is me dismissing anything. Nor do I think this is me refusing to consider your point of view. I hope this explains that interaction adequately.

Now, for Prof. I tend to have a pretty good bead on Prof. I would say that, by and large, his process is similar to mine, which is why I read him pretty well. I also know that he has lost to me enough times in end of game situations that, by default, he requires me to do more that pretty much every other player to reach the threshold where he is comfortable town reading me. That is to say, in his positions, I have come to expect a degree of paranoia. On Day 1, I felt like this paranoia was missing to an extent that felt noteworthy. So when I asked him about it, he told me he was paranoid, but offered an explanation for why he was curbing it. I thought that was fair enough, so I left it at that. Now come into Day 2, I see him constructing a "paranoia tinfoil" wherein I am scum with Poyser and playing to look good from his flip.

In isolation, you may think that reasonable. The problem is, to me, it felt like Prof was performing a box ticking exercise. If we assume for a moment that he is scum, he knows what I expect from him when I'm looking to read him on a base level. And he also knows that he was not quite hitting that Day 2. That is to say, he has incentive to perhaps force in a paranoia read, because he already knows that he was caught lacking on that early and, while he got away with it then, it's something he will now be conscious of. So, when I saw this, I decided to challenge it. The purpose of challenging it is to scratch beneath the surface. If Town, there would be some strand underlying that Prof has thought of to justify coming to that idea. He would be able to present this, and if I found something objectionable, but otherwise reasonable to believe, I'd point out the issue and probably leave it at that. But here, I found none of that. I found mostly smoke and mirrors, and throughout it, I couldn't get the sense that he really believed in the thought process. So the next step is to apple pressure. I'm kind of still in that step, though I maintain that he is probably not scum with Poyser. I don't believe any of this makes me unpleasant. I hope that my position is now adequately explained.

In regards to Flower, while I can absolutely see her as town, I have issue with where she pushes things that I feel are not accurate. And I also have issue with her mode of defence being to insult and then act like I've been awful to her for questioning the merits of her arguments. I don't really understand how anything I've said to her could be upsetting enough to justify the sort of reaction she's had, which gives me a kernel of suspicion that she's leaning in to an emotional defence wherein she makes me not want to press the issue because it's designed to make me feel like I'm being a bad person towards her. I've tried to discuss the logic of her arguments and outline why I disagree, and I've also told her where I feel like her play is objectionable on a "how it feels to play with" level. She has, thusfar, made no attempt to broach ground here, so I cannot work with anything from her slot. I've got a sort of read on her but that is, unfortunately, the extent of it.

In regards to Watson, my defence of her slot has been to outline why I don't see her play as scum motivated. Because I don't really think she's scum. I would, if I had to pick, say town. Now, I'd like to see more from her slot, but I know how rough she feels from last game and I want to be conscientious of her. I also don't believe reading her from activity is all that accurate. So that's why I have that position. I again, do not understand what part of that is unpleasant from me.

And that's basically all of the main positions and discussions I've had of the day. If you think anything I've said is out of bounds, I'd welcome a discussion, because I really don't believe I have been. My intent has always been to map out my thought process so it can be understood, but I don't want to come across as patronising or condescending, which is why I have only volunteered extrapolation like in this post where I feel it's due.
So, I don’t believe you actually think this.

My issue was with your overreaction towards Prof. Prof‘s post just looked like a standard Ratchet paranoia post. You also mention here that it’s something he would do as Town. Mind you, at the time I made my post wrt you overreacting I wasn’t even fully caught up yet. I have done no deep dives into Prof‘s ISO either. All I saw was a post he makes as Town and you voting him over it.

Second your dome suggestion towards him looks more like self pres than you actually believing this. It‘s out of character as well. If you’re Town your job is to be correct on reads and you are also a very patient person, usually. I don’t think why your first thought would be a thunderdome like this. Domes rarely help Town as there is always a chance you chain mislynches. Frankly that’s something I would do and how I would react. But I haven’t seen you do that as Town ever. As scum yes.


Tldr your push on him was way out of character and that you don’t understand where I came from with this and your entire posts since then have been more of an attempt to discredit me than anything I just don’t see you as Town here. Also the Watson thing. Her play is scummy as hell. And how her Duel works fits both scum as well Cult more than it does Town. We‘re also looking for 2 hostile factions. She can be part of the faction that Poyser is not in without much difficulty. Yet I‘m treated like I‘m stupid for even suggesting that.
 
Okay well you can argue that bussing doesn't mean bussing if you want, but the goal and MO is to keep my team alive. Poyser, POYSER, was not doomed with 6 votes 12 or so hours into Day 1. That's a ridiculous argument that cannot be a real thought. It just can't be. The goal behind him going at me would be to make him look better, not for me to rug pull him and make him look worse.

In fact if you genuinely believe this then I'm going to insist that we thunder dome as soon as Watson gets her duel in because I will never ever read this as anything other than bad faith BS. Think I've read enough.

Vote: Dr_Professor83

I can't say with complete confidence that you're not town but I can say that I will never ever read this as town reasoning and my patience with your slot has worn out.
Explain to me this progression please

You had him as town and I couldn't really understand what you found scummy about him
 
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