• We're looking for artists. Direct message Dr. Watson for more info!

Game Ranked Hero Killer Mafia

Reader mode
Early Day 3 Analysis - Part 2

Alexis's Posts

Alexis votes Lethal. This is the first vote of the game and continues Alexis's tunnel since Day 1 (I'm inclined to think Alexis is right on the money here, though)

'Hime is not Town. We need to look into her.' - Alexis gives this but I don't recall their reasoning for thinking Hime is 3rd party. Can you elaborate on this?

'
Final PoE (legacy in case of death as well)
Lethal
Aurelian
Lappland
hime
---------------------------- (Hero Killer is likely among the above. I believe them to be hime currently.)
Mlraka'

I don't understand this, are you saying I'm townie or in the PoE Alexis?

Alexis asks PepeBoi (weird choice given Pepe is one of the scummier players in the game) to vote Lethal. Vetoes an Aurelian lynch by saying we should vote Lethal today. A somewhat curious playstyle, for sure, but it doesn't really change my mind on Alexis being a very likely town, which makes the subsequent push on them later all the more strange. Dare I say, it gives me chills

Aurelian calls out Alexis for their reads not evolving at all.

A pattern I notice among many of my FoSes is that they are focusing on Alexis and using them as a scapegoat for whatever. I'd be wary of players who are just focused on a couple of players rather than trying to develop a broader world-view.

Other Posts

Jay then says 'So do we clear pepe or do we think hayumi is a relentless busser?' - the idea of clearing PepeBoi seems absurd to me. What has PepeBoi even done this whole game? The notion is so ridiculous that I'd probably move Jay to a scumlean for this alone, except that I need to analyze their argument with LappLand first. I also saw Alexis clear PepeBoi, which I also don't get at all, but it would be unfair to have a double standard here, so I suppose Jay23 stays null for me

'Alexis feels off. The Arne kill and him flipping vig makes me think it might very well have been between Alexis, Goddess, and Lapp.

I guess potentially Lethal since he was also on Arne's radar.' - from Aurelian. Not sure how i feel about this post. It feels to me like Aurelian is setting up LHF to pick off in the next rounds. Either that or they are mafia and put one of their partners in here to try and look good for later.

Because let's face it GoddessBlade has contributed virtually NOTHING to the game and most of LappLand's posts feel like a dog chasing cars, not knowing what to do if they actually caught one

Posts That Don't Make Sense To Me At All

'Also what confuses me

Insomnia you have never mentioned the word autobot or decepticon despite Aurelian being a decepticon' - I don't understand LappLand's argument here at all.

Alexis reinforces that they're going for Lethal, before saying that Jay is clear based on 'spew', which I do not understand whatsoever. Not least because we don't even know for sure what LappLand's role is. If it was anyone else I'd probably be a bit sus on this, but because it's Alexis I'm gonna say it's NAI

'With the Hayumi flip, I think Lapp and Aurelian are very unlikely to be scum. I mean, do we really think a failed scum wagon D1 is going to have her mates jumping on so easily?' - from GoddessBlade. I don't necessarily agree with this, I still have LappLand and Aurelian as scum leans, but I like the question and hope to see more of this from GoddessBlade

More Posts

Alexis replies by saying 'One/both of them are undoubtedly scum. Lappland takes priority.' - on Aurelian/LappLand. I do agree that at least one of these slots are probably scum

'Yes, it's maj lynch = very hard to get votes on

Either that option ends up being the kill or a no kill so bussing seems best to me

@Lappland i genuinely forgot, but were you a powerwolf or a busser? And also why aren't you all over my ass given you said hayumi and me were so paired' - Jay23 reinforces that, minor mindmeld going on here so gonna town lean this post just for that

Aurelian insists on flipping Alexis, while Alexis says that Stick is town. Both notions seem very odd to me at this point. I haven't seen any posts from Stick that would be near impossible to come from a wolf, but they also haven't had many posts that I consider scummy (except from the start of Day 1), which is why they're still null in my reads.

'Aurelian is scum. They're trying to lynch anyone who goes against the status quo. If we have anyone with Watching abilities, watch me tonight.' - Alexis in response to Aurelian's vote on them. It somewhat resembles my own response to Aurelian, who has a pattern of sussing or voting people for the weirdest reasons

Specifically the reason 'It should also give us insight into Hime's slot since Fuji was so deadset on protecting him/claiming he's town.' - I don't feel like this reasoning ever comes from a town

Alexis then pings PepeBoi and Stick to jump on the Lethal wagon.

Saving Lethal's post for a separate analysis
 
Luka said:
ye sure
alexis pepe lethal town core
hime stick goddessblsde mlraka(sheep) town resd. you / zara dif check

atsunoei / aurelian w/w prob
probably have one misread here
Click to expand...

The lack of explanation for any of these reads bugs me

But what bugs me even more is how the hell can you possibly think PepeBoi and Lethal are remotely townie, let alone towncore?

Heck your reads would probably be better if I reversed them from town to scum order to scum to town order

And that's even with you being on the right track with Aurelian
 
Mlraka said:
Insomnia you have never mentioned the word autobot or decepticon despite Aurelian being a decepticon' - I don't understand LappLand's argument here at all.
Click to expand...
don't worry, he was trying to pin me to yet another partner of his as if it worked last time
 
Alexis tagging me to vote Lethal and Lethal tagging me to vote Alexis...

I just came back, so the only thing I've seen is Boquise, Arne and Hayumi dying. Boquise probably is SK kill, so may find the SK in Boq's POE.
 
Ok overnight i had a theory of lappland and hayumi being w/w because:
1. Hayumi at one point mentioned that they thought brad’s claim was “villagery” because he claimed 3 shot and Hayumi also had 3 shots which made brad’s claim seem real (makes no sense yes but that’s what Hayumi claimed)

2. Lappland later claimed his role and said the mimic works on only players with 3 shot abilities

Umm it’s nothing like a slam dunk but i can draw a connection between the two cuz hayumi had this random thing in their head about 3 shot ppl and lappland claimed the mimic to be only on 3 shot ppl and idk if this is a site-specific thing or if they’re w/w
 
I don't think it's a site specific thing, but your reasonment doesn't seem stupid if you want my opinion
 
honestly idk what to say to this stick
 
Reader mode
You must log in or register to reply here.
Menu
Log in
Register