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Game Vampire The Masquerade: Bloodlines

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Flower said:
Alexis - lean scum
Ali - lean Town
Atsumori - GTH Town
Cata - null
Gad - GTH Town
Hayumi - lean scum
Lanji - null (Town if Pqwerty scum)
Melkor - lean scum
Pqwerty - null
Ratchet - null
Sigis - null
Stargate - lean Town
Yoho - null (not scum with Melkor)
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Do you think Hayumi would post what she did about Alexis so early if you think they're both scum?
 
  • wack.
Reactions: Ali
My anxiety grow up every time I see Pqwerty's profile picture. Is this guy trying to make me use my anxiolytics or what?
 
Hayumi said:
“No nulls allowed” is absolutely insane to say when well over half the game is and was yet to post. Might as well have us roll dice and call it a day tbh
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On a conceptual level, I can see an argument. One might expect a ~rand distribution of partners from a wolf (50/50 between town/wolf when distributed randomly). One might not expect a wolf to put all partners in one category or the other, perhaps. So in theory, in the ultra lategame, one could try to throw the bones as it were, and attempt to divine a partner. That if, say, there are only 5 players left alive in the game and 1 of them is a wolf, go back to theses answers and try to see something of value. However, in reality, that's largely guesswork as theres no reason for a player not to put in a "joke" answer of -- say -- having all of their wolf partners in the Wolf category.

And indeed, such statistical wizardry matters not when our sample size is 1, because this isn't us trying to find what is most or least likely at random -- it's us trying to find one specific permutation of wolves, thereby making this sort of exercise entirely moot when we ultimately cannot be wrong a number of times such that the stats catch up with reality.

Basically, the post was fuckin dumb lmao
 
Nutmeg said:
On a conceptual level, I can see an argument. One might expect a ~rand distribution of partners from a wolf (50/50 between town/wolf when distributed randomly). One might not expect a wolf to put all partners in one category or the other, perhaps. So in theory, in the ultra lategame, one could try to throw the bones as it were, and attempt to divine a partner. That if, say, there are only 5 players left alive in the game and 1 of them is a wolf, go back to theses answers and try to see something of value. However, in reality, that's largely guesswork as theres no reason for a player not to put in a "joke" answer of -- say -- having all of their wolf partners in the Wolf category.

And indeed, such statistical wizardry matters not when our sample size is 1, because this isn't us trying to find what is most or least likely at random -- it's us trying to find one specific permutation of wolves, thereby making this sort of exercise entirely moot when we ultimately cannot be wrong a number of times such that the stats catch up with reality.

Basically, the post was fuckin dumb lmao
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nerd
 
Ali said:
LMAO, this is just an epic fail
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You started up good, saying the wagon’s progressed quickly and that is sus, then you became a little sus when you said at least one of them is scum??! Lol how do you know? Maybe all of us are dumb townies or maybe there are more than one scum deep wolfing, this is a straightforward TMI statement, also, saying the wagon’s went quickly is a double edged sword used by town and scum both, it’s the explanation after that sentencing that kinda gives an idea about your affiliation, very few townies would pick the guy who started the voting process especially when that guy didn’t even call for a wagon or post a case for his vote, people just joined on their own, that makes your decisions even more sus :cat-stare:
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I just wanna lynch you even more after this post. I also want to yeet Melkor.
 
  • Uhhhh
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