hime
Exceptional
if nibel is town, who would save him by redirecting the shot to go elsewhere?
we agreed in the thread that nibel was the best person for gad to shoot and gad agreed to do it
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- Thread starter Lord Melkor
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we agreed in the thread that nibel was the best person for gad to shoot and gad agreed to do it
You can't say Hime can be scum doing risky play because split could be 6-3 then turn around and say "uhh actually no I never said scum could be that high!"
The Orca
Antihero
As a possibility yeah. The bus drive could be the mafia protection this game, Nibel town, and Ultra BP SK.
I was not missing a post,
Well, I was missing exactly 1 I thonk but that doesn't account for the plural.
@Luka just read this post and ask yourself if CP is not considering a hefty scum team to explain Hime's motives
He's now saying I'm full of shit, but he brought that split up explicitly because he thought it was a plausible explanation
Arne Slot
The Shiny One
As I said it hardly matters because either way it would be LYLO tomorrow regardless. You keep zeroing in on these irrelevant points to play gotcha
The Orca
Antihero
Um anyone planning open kill shots with unknown and double and triple moves in the game is not very smart or scum lmaoif nibel is town, who would save him by redirecting the shot to go elsewhere?
we agreed in the thread that nibel was the best person for gad to shoot and gad agreed to do it
Mafia having a bus driver on top of redirector would be, plainly, ridiculous in ranked.
Think about it. Not only would town never get a shot off, they would all probably land on town even if they hit scum
hime
Exceptional
y is it not a possibility that nibel is scum and tempest is scum trying to save his mate?
Orca I planned it in the open because redirector flipped
I knew there could be a way to block the kill, but I said go for it anyway, because the blocking of a kill is evidence itself
You know if I was in nibel's shoes you'd be lynching me 110% let's not kid ourselves
Hans Tweetenberg
Marvelous
The only ways it should be possible for Nibel to have survived last night are
1. He's scum protecting himself - This is more or less contradicted by CPs Cop result. If Nibel is scum anyway, that oughta mean his teammate is either exactly CP or point 4 takes effect
2. Hime drove the kill away from Nibel and is lying about her usage - This would also neatly explain the town result CP got a town result on Nibel, it seems likely that CP would have received Ultras or Gads alignment in that case. This world would assume hime is scum though which I don't think is a thing based on her play. Also if hime merely redirected the kill, we should have 3 kills anyway but it seems we only have 2 accounted for?
3. Nibel is the SK who would have to be BP and investigation immune
4. Gad messed up and forgot to submit the kill
5. Role shenanigans we don't know about. Lawyers or JKs in particular
I don't think CP or hime individually have any reason to go for this sort of play tbh. They'd have a good shot of making it to the end on thread cred even if they were on their own imo.
My money is on Nibel just being the SK tbh, if that isn't true for some reason I'm forgetting about then worlds 4 and 5 still seem more likely to me than world 1 or 2
1. He's scum protecting himself - This is more or less contradicted by CPs Cop result. If Nibel is scum anyway, that oughta mean his teammate is either exactly CP or point 4 takes effect
2. Hime drove the kill away from Nibel and is lying about her usage - This would also neatly explain the town result CP got a town result on Nibel, it seems likely that CP would have received Ultras or Gads alignment in that case. This world would assume hime is scum though which I don't think is a thing based on her play. Also if hime merely redirected the kill, we should have 3 kills anyway but it seems we only have 2 accounted for?
3. Nibel is the SK who would have to be BP and investigation immune
4. Gad messed up and forgot to submit the kill
5. Role shenanigans we don't know about. Lawyers or JKs in particular
I don't think CP or hime individually have any reason to go for this sort of play tbh. They'd have a good shot of making it to the end on thread cred even if they were on their own imo.
My money is on Nibel just being the SK tbh, if that isn't true for some reason I'm forgetting about then worlds 4 and 5 still seem more likely to me than world 1 or 2
I just did the math, in either world I believe lynching SK is unfortunately strictly optimal.
The Orca
Antihero
You mean if they claim because you all play dumb and then try and plan moves in the thread...yeah they wouldn't lol
I mean going on a limb with me is a pretty terrible suggestion regardless
Would suggest a degree of confidence this town can lynch through mafia, how do you have that?
Arne Slot
The Shiny One
I mean aside from ratchet and maaaaaaybe Luka my reads have been pretty bang on
Hans Tweetenberg
Marvelous
As for Ultra, I'm not about to spell out why but I don't think it makes any sense for us to vote him out today no matter what we do.
Before anyone asks, spelling out why would open the gates for teh WIFOM
Before anyone asks, spelling out why would open the gates for teh WIFOM
Hans Tweetenberg
Marvelous
Oh but we should definitely wait for the hosts to confirm he's lost his DV
cool, who's the SK
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