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Game Ranked OLF Christmas Mafia 2023 (Day 9)

Also I'll be busy today.

Just so you know if you mislynch me today you also just lose, so there is that. Everyone will wanna lynch you tomorrow. I'm the only one you can still frame as SK.
 

You‘re just scum, your team killed Melkor and you wondered where the third kill was. Then it dawned on you, oh yeah, we blocked the guy and there was no kill. The guy must be the SK, then, when I pointed it out.

You‘re busted.


You had no idea he was an invest role at the time.
Everyone who's Town read this, Ekko's just exposed.

Also consider that offing SK Rugrat and then Town me or vice versa will cost us the game.


That's all folks. I'll be off to work now.
 
And yeah, remember that I confirmed my Governor and that the scum team doesn't have that on top of an Exe and Day Shortener. So I'm just confirmed not Mafia.
 
I want to clarify — this isn't a PoE by any means. This is me scribbling on a whiteboard trying to find where to make connections and what connections to make. I need people to serve as soundboards.

Sky/Magic
• Sky might be too much on that self-preserv Koolaid. That's just my take and the vibe I get. She's not really stuck out and when did she slowly teetered away from any further outlandish ideas.

• Flower/Magic
Miss Flower can absolutely use her aggressive defense against accusations and dismiss it as paranoia and have it span for 10+ pages. I absolutely still believe she has TMI. I don't know where it's coming from precisely, but I'm getting to why I think that in a bit.

Absolute worst case scenario I think.

• Flower/Cal.
It feels like a minor pocketing attempt to place me in a false sense of security by calling out mislynch setup. She has diligently observed my own playbook enough times that I'm not putting it past her to shade Magic and save Cal. Bad side is it doesn't feel like it's coming from a mafia vs indie disagreement.

"Magic is obv scum ffs" Yes he absolutely was floundering. Yes he did attempt to build a mislynch on me.
I'm offering an alternative world where he was trusting of Cal's claim. I haven't seen an unhinged Townic like this so perhaps this is the least likely scenario


Live footage of Magic. Presented by the unfunniest Admin on NF. All rights reserved.

I don't like the wishy-washy nonsense he pulled after he assumed the lynch was secured. Abhorrent look.


The I don't trust anyone pile:
Ekko (mildly tonally town; mechanical scumplay)
Flower (just a solid wildcard at this point)
Magic (tonally town, mechanically up in the air


The other pile:
Tweet (tonally town, mechanically anal fucked to oblivion)
Cal (tonally null, mechanically up in the air)
Sky (tonally null to scum, mechanically self-prevers scum play)




Here's where my gut is telling me to go. It starts with the Nibel lynch:
Scums are not sure of what to do.
Correct
Nibel better than Ratchet not even lying.

Don't think kekko would fake info to lynch nibel tho...
Cmon now.
Would he now?
Well, if it prevents the vig from killing me and wasting a shot on a VT
Based Nib
Coal is a scum turning item.
We should probably just lynch you and get rid of it.
We get rid of scum + potential scum
2 for 1

Vote Lynch Nibel
Start of the agenda, could be Ekko's conflicted info was interfered with - I think Nibel might be right? It's convenient for Scumkko and really convenient for scum to frame him with the result on Nib.
I already this multiple times. I didn't read enough to give reads, but I would say the scums would be the people blindly following the call on me.
I wish he said the exact names to get a glimpse of what was in his brain at this point

Now here's the color coding votes:
Vote Count


Nibel (9): Ratchet, Gad, Prof, Fuji, Polar, Ekko, Luka, Tpein
Ratchet (5): Evans, Melkor, Sky, Tweet, Nibel
Ichigo (1): Orca

With 23 alive it takes 12 to lynch

you have about 16 hours left

Vote Nibel

Vote Nibel.

You'll all regret this.

Should be L-1 now.

This stands out in hindsight

It doesn't say I have to give it at night. It says that you must give it or it will give it to a random player.
I have a tinfoil but I'll refrain
Kek

Bye potatoman

Vote lynch Nibel
Ouch, maybe no one gets trust fall rights
Shulda let Sky do the honors...
Wanted a flip so bad and dissappeared when the opportunity to hammer was there.

Reads like internal discussion
This but unironically

Vote Nibel in case of a shenanigan
In case
But of course
Probably trying to get us to lynch caldust instead.
Kek



And here's where we may be able to connect the dots on some things via motive:
There were the kills that followed.

These may not even be relevant; this is all just instinctual retrospection. I'm just not sure how to link it.
 
Also Suggest babe your grasping, this is the same knee jerk reaction Hime had in one game - she had sworn Nibel slipped and immediately voted him

If you really wanna win this game this is not the time to cling onto something that can't be verified as a slip until they flip scum
It's not a concrete reason

I don't read it as a slip, it felt like heavily fuelled sarcasm at the time and still does

Can you build a case for Magic? Or are you just going to spar with Flower?
 
Anyway zero confidence I'm heading into a cohesive direction given certain track records and manipulative capabilities

I have work at 12, we gonna make them big bucks today folks