It didn't come out of thin air. While I did case Lethal and thought he was scum D1, there was a lingering paranoia that I was maybe wrong. Now, I don't blame myself for being wrong about Lethal because I think his town play has a lot of tells many players would read as scum, but I felt maybe I shouldn't relentlessly try to bury Lethal, especially since last game I was also wrong about him. I felt like I made a pretty decent case against Lethal and with the way he played, and no other option, I thought Lethal would flip D1. He was at L-1 for a LONG time and it was dead quiet. That sat funky in my gut. I can't tell you exactly what went down that EOD (I tried to start a reread of D1 but I just don't have enough time during the week) but I just felt with my lingering tinfoil that shit was being big brained this game, that Lethal could be town. Also looking at how fast Lethal's wagon built up again D2 shows another point that maybe they wanted to push Lethal quick in D2 (I'd have to reread D2).
I have made conclusions, though. Poyser and Gram were both town reading Lethal and did not vote for him D1. Both of them ended up voting for Lethal D2, a day phase that got hammered early. I don't buy either of them having natural progressions on Lethal enough that they both legitimately thought that wolf Lethal had bamboozled them in D1. If Poyser and Gram are both town, especially Poyser, they both thought that Lethal had played well enough, subverted his scum meta, and tricked the two of them, into believing he was town. Then, if they're both town, somehow Lethal, after bamboozling Poyser and Gram, two massive opponents, continues to unravel D2 until the point that he just gives up, letting go of any confidence he had gained after tricking Poyser and Gram D1. That's just a fucking thought process from the boys that I have a really hard time swallowing.