Game Elden Ring Mafia

[Dr. Watson]

yeah you/new posters know the chances better about what scum play this could possibly be

with SK and fang as a team, either:
1. yoshi actually was scum all along and simply LFH
2. their teammates are actually just nobody scum barely interacting with the thread (unlikely given the nature of how the lynch is being controlled here)
3. lethal flips town, BPD is scum. BPD flips town, lethal is scum?
4. ekko has been hiding

3 is where all the links im making needs some kind of flip linking to 1-2 to make it work. i really don't know.
the poison status effect claims and healing claims, while it shows that it connects, can still be lied about depending on the scum agenda we are dealing with

i wonder if miraculously hitting an indie (if one of these flip) would help. i don't know if that info for town would actually assist scum because the possible indie link can easily be used to divert a lynch on their pals. they got lucky as fuck with rugrat

i suppose another theory may be that a scum member is making up the indie thing to misdirect or fishing for it because of some conditions and abilities that aligns with their role.

 

[Dr. Watson]

i just took some nyquil lol FYI so i may crash soon and then come back

 

[Emil]

okay caught up

alright what i wanted to say earlier is I lied about my shots number, I was 3 shots and shot doddsy last night. He did not die

considering mafia kill failed as well and its unexplained how. i wonder if it has something to do with doddsy's role going defensive or being roleblocked by someone or w.e. point is my kill failed on doddsy

lastly @Dalton u not tracking n5 is pretty sus I think tbh. what happened there? i need a decent reasoning for this

@Tiara @Black Pegged Dragon @Retrolize @Evans @Alco @PHEN0M @Doddsy @Lethal @Big Man @Arp Bladstrum

 

[Emil]

yeah you/new posters know the chances better about what scum play this could possibly be

with SK and fang as a team, either:
1. yoshi actually was scum all along and simply LFH
2. their teammates are actually just nobody scum barely interacting with the thread (unlikely given the nature of how the lynch is being controlled here)
3. lethal flips town, BPD is scum. BPD flips town, lethal is scum?
4. ekko has been hiding

3 is where all the links im making needs some kind of flip linking to 1-2 to make it work. i really don't know.
the poison status effect claims and healing claims, while it shows that it connects, can still be lied about depending on the scum agenda we are dealing with

i wonder if miraculously hitting an indie (if one of these flip) would help. i don't know if that info for town would actually assist scum because the possible indie link can easily be used to divert a lynch on their pals. they got lucky as fuck with rugrat

i suppose another theory may be that a scum member is making up the indie thing to misdirect or fishing for it because of some conditions and abilities that aligns with their role.

not hiding. been sick, taking rest lol

 

[PHEN0M]

Well I have spent 90 minutes reading back and feel like I absorbed none of it.

A lot of the discussion seemed to revolve around the same points over and over which means I'm probably missing some detail.

Alco, Haza, Evans, Ekko, Retro all looking town to me so far, probably in that order. Posyer, CP, Ultra, Ratchet all look fine to me as well but I'm not fully willing to cement it.

Abi's points earlier on about getting the game started were super weird and seemed like trying to force content.

Gonna sheep a point I think Poyser made on TP early that he claimed his role right away when he never claims which does have me wary to a degree.

Arp has posted little of actual game substance (I do enjoy his posts though) but did pop his vote down on Aurelian so that could be worth noting depening on what he flips.

Kind of wary of Tweet as well as his observations weren't anything fantastic from what he posted but doesn't really extend beyond wariness

Bolded his town/feel good list here on page 40. Haza(RDK), CP, Ultra, Rachet all flipped town, Poyser indy. Ekko is vig and I believe to be town.

That leaves Alco, Evans and Retro who are currently alive. Assuming a Doddsy scum flip, I’d say there’s likely a teammate in here just based off probability. Even looking at the names mentioned and sussed in this post below that, BPD seems to be town (although cleared by Alco who isn’t cemented as town), TP & tweet flipped town. Who is Arp and are they alive?

Also, notice that the two flipped scum in Aurelian and SK are absent from being mentioned at all. I feel that gives more credence to at least one scum mate in the 3 from his town/feels good list, i don’t know that you would give town reads to all non-teammates as then you’d be narrowing the pool to go after to only teammates lol.

I don't agree with that, as evident as he's probably my strongest town read. I am pretty familiar with him though, so the posting style is not really out of the ordinary

This is his very next post after the above and it’s about Alco who Ultra was shading. Alco/Doddsy interacted on one post prior to these two posts and Doddsy had given zero explanation on why Alco is his strongest town read before saying this.

 

[Emil]

we r lynching doddsy today

 

[Dr. Watson]

ekko

while it isn't beneath you to withhold information from scum and lie about abilities or shots, the fact you shot doddsy specifically while *all of this* is going on and has me running around circles and now maybe more town, too, makes me like you're aiming for a very specific agenda

makes me think that you're trying to divert with new information

but i think im gonna give up
im like
i dont know if i have further energy to be gaslit or manipulated with any further information that cannot be host confirmed or without a flip yet again
i enjoy playing but im getting fairly worried that i am fucking up towns chances by being such a stubborn opposing voice based on distrust

it's just hard not to compile and share my overall thoughts because this theory tinkering is fun

 

[Emil]

also lethal deliberately wanted to hammer in order to acquire godrick's rune lol. the question is does he make it that obvious?

well, where is he today to explain it?

 

[Dr. Watson]

not hiding. been sick, taking rest lol

feel better!

 

[Emil]

ekko

while it isn't beneath you to withhold information from scum and lie about abilities or shots, the fact you shot doddsy specifically while *all of this* is going on and has me running around circles and now maybe more town, too, makes me like you're aiming for a very specific agenda

makes me think that you're trying to divert with new information

but i think im gonna give up
im like
i dont know if i have further energy to be gaslit or manipulated with any further information that cannot be host confirmed or without a flip yet again
i enjoy playing but im getting fairly worried that i am fucking up towns chances by being such a stubborn opposing voice based on distrust

it's just hard not to compile and share my overall thoughts because this theory tinkering is fun

i was waiting to see what doddsy says when he comes in today and how does the doddsy/BLD interaction unfold. earlier I said I have something that I'll say later lol. this was it

 

[PHEN0M]

we r lynching doddsy today

I don’t think I’ve seen anything today that would allow him to survive so I’m down. Good fucking play btw, i love lying about my shots when they can benefit us and screw scum unexpectedly :hayden3

 

[Emil]

Bolded his town/feel good list here on page 40. Haza(RDK), CP, Ultra, Rachet all flipped town, Poyser indy. Ekko is vig and I believe to be town.

That leaves Alco, Evans and Retro who are currently alive. Assuming a Doddsy scum flip, I’d say there’s likely a teammate in here just based off probability. Even looking at the names mentioned and sussed in this post below that, BPD seems to be town (although cleared by Alco who isn’t cemented as town), TP & tweet flipped town. Who is Arp and are they alive?

Also, notice that the two flipped scum in Aurelian and SK are absent from being mentioned at all. I feel that gives more credence to at least one scum mate in the 3 from his town/feels good list, i don’t know that you would give town reads to all non-teammates as then you’d be narrowing the pool to go after to only teammates lol.



This is his very next post after the above and it’s about Alco who Ultra was shading. Alco/Doddsy interacted on one post prior to these two posts and Doddsy had given zero explanation on why Alco is his strongest town read before saying this.

i think evans/doddsy team works greatly. there has barely been any notable interactions between the 2

 

[Emil]

the reason why tiara or RDK probably didn't get blocked is scum maybe rolecopped me or guessed that I have an extra shot so kept blocking me. i abstained n4 and I'm guessing I was blocked n5 or doddsy is just that tanky

anyway he's got to go. my PoE was clearly doddsy/lethal. blocking me benefits them the most.

doddsy's role flip can shed light about the setup and BLD

evans/lethal last remaining 2 in PoE. throw in Alco for last wolf if needed

game is done

 

[PHEN0M]

i think evans/doddsy team works greatly. there has barely been any notable interactions between the 2

Even more interesting based on that initial list assessment! I was thinking Alco after the early post review , do the 3 of them work as a team?

 

[PHEN0M]

the reason why tiara or RDK probably didn't get blocked is scum maybe rolecopped me or guessed that I have an extra shot so kept blocking me. i abstained n4 and I'm guessing I was blocked n5 or doddsy is just that tanky

anyway he's got to go. my PoE was clearly doddsy/lethal. blocking me benefits them the most.

doddsy's role flip can shed light about the setup and BLD

evans/lethal last remaining 2 in PoE. throw in Alco for last wolf if needed

game is done

Ninja’d lol.

You think Ultra is the unluckiest player ever hiding behind the GF too huh? I’m trying to rationalize that in my head but the odds seem so damn low that would happen

 

[PHEN0M]

Also:

vote: Doddsy

 

[The X]

Where are the votes at?

 

[The X]

Must I do a vote count?

 

[The X]

With me being 'healed' I have problem voting Doddsy. Are we ready to hammer him?

 

[Lethal]

I’m out at softball. Saw dragon claims to be poisoned and Doddsy has healed him.
This bullshit again that my items are negative? Lol.