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Game Elden Ring Mafia

Tempest

Leprous Monarch
So Ultra was thinking Aurelian was town, but



His case against Alco seemed to be that Alco is scum with Aurelian, knew he was going to flip scum and wanted to look good. "preflipping a buddy", as he says. But again, Ultra thinks Aurelian is town.

1) Why not follow up on this immediately D2?
2) How is this different from Ultra's "smoking gun" against lethal? You say you think Aurelian is non-mafia but you're pairing him with other players (in this case, Alco). How's it different? What am I missing?
To be clear, my stance is not "You can't read someone town and still pair others with them in the hypothetical that you're wrong and they're mafia". I think you absolutely can and there's nothing wrong with it.

But Ultra says Lethal is scum for doing that. Yet Ultra appears to have done it himself. What's the difference?
 

Emil

Average Diabellstar Witch Enjoyer
V.I.P. Member
You are now deviating from your point. You put events in incorrect order to fit your narrative and when you get called on it you dismiss it and start saying 'No you still did this' which is invalid cause I was replying to people who were engaging with me after I dropped that post. I didn't go out of my way to push the guy again for I said all I have to say about him.
replying to literally people talking to u about him lol

like u were replying to me ratchet etc who r talking to u about poyser

ur long post just came in the middle of a stream of u pushing the guy

u cant rly argue this, and im surely hoping this isnt how u want to spend ur energy soul
 

Emil

Average Diabellstar Witch Enjoyer
V.I.P. Member
im not even going back to fact check, i am that confident i havent seen u push scum until now with lethal lol
 

Ultra

THE BEAR
Moderator
So Ultra was thinking Aurelian was town, but



His case against Alco seemed to be that Alco is scum with Aurelian, knew he was going to flip scum and wanted to look good. "preflipping a buddy", as he says. But again, Ultra thinks Aurelian is town.

1) Why not follow up on this immediately D2?
2) How is this different from Ultra's "smoking gun" against lethal? You say you think Aurelian is non-mafia but you're pairing him with other players (in this case, Alco). How's it different? What am I missing?

This isn't really a gotcha because I state in the very post you quoted "I think Fang is town but..."

Vs Lethal who made no differentiation. Also my theory came well before Fang claimed Ind. So there's really no equivalence here.

Finally, I did make a mention of how I suspect Alco today. I just don't think that has a serious chance of happening, and I'm more confident in Lethal.
 

Tempest

Leprous Monarch
This isn't really a gotcha because I state in the very post you quoted "I think Fang is town but..."

Vs Lethal who made no differentiation. Also my theory came well before Fang claimed Ind. So there's really no equivalence here.

Finally, I did make a mention of how I suspect Alco today. I just don't think that has a serious chance of happening, and I'm more confident in Lethal.
I didn't say it was a gotcha. I asked a question.
 

Tempest

Leprous Monarch
This isn't really a gotcha because I state in the very post you quoted "I think Fang is town but..."

Vs Lethal who made no differentiation. Also my theory came well before Fang claimed Ind. So there's really no equivalence here.

Finally, I did make a mention of how I suspect Alco today. I just don't think that has a serious chance of happening, and I'm more confident in Lethal.
So it's different because you spelled out that it's a contingency and Lethal didn't? Ehhhh
 

Hans Tweetenberg

Exceptional
Except when my main point hasn't been disproven, just one of my side points, then it's not really like I'm saying jkjkjkjk.

Well fuck, eh?
Could be, like I said I've already forgotten most of what happened. The vote on you seemed like a good idea at the time and if you really wanna get deep into this conversation, @Poyser probably has a better recollection of that entire argument.
 

Emil

Average Diabellstar Witch Enjoyer
V.I.P. Member
This isn't really a gotcha because I state in the very post you quoted "I think Fang is town but..."

Vs Lethal who made no differentiation. Also my theory came well before Fang claimed Ind. So there's really no equivalence here.

Finally, I did make a mention of how I suspect Alco today. I just don't think that has a serious chance of happening, and I'm more confident in Lethal.
u mentioned suspecting alco yesterday too btw. i remember because for some reason u wanted me to react to it lol
 

SoulKiller

The Alpha and The Omega
replying to literally people talking to u about him lol

like u were replying to me ratchet etc who r talking to u about poyser

ur long post just came in the middle of a stream of u pushing the guy

u cant rly argue this, and im surely hoping this isnt how u want to spend ur energy soul
I always come to realize it's pointless to interact with you sometimes.

Up the scum radar you go.
 

Poyser

Moderator
Moderator
Looking at DP1 wagon progression, this is how it developed as the game reached it's conclusion.

The first wagon these players hopped into the wagon.

Aurelian 7 - Poyser, Yoshi, Arp, CP, RDK, Alco, BLD (page 46)

Aurelian 8 - Poyser, Yoshi, Arp, CP, RDK, Alco, BLD, TPein

Aurelian 9 - Poyser, Yoshi, Arp, CP, Alco, Phenom, Ratchet, RDK, Tpein

Wagons above is before Aurelian claimed and the wagons below are after his claim.

Aurelian 10 - Yoshi, Arp, CP, Alco, Phenom, Ratchet, RDK, Tpein, Soulkiller, Evans

Aurelian 12 - Yoshi, Arp, Alco, Phenom, Ratchet, Tpein, Soulkiller, Evans, Ultra, CP, BLD, RDK


The wagon early on consisted of people pushing fang for he handled himself early on and came off pretty aggressive defensive for no reason. What I will be focusing on is the shift in behavior for individuals when fang did claim. Before I get into that though the players who stayed on his wagon from beginning to end are the following, and this might be slightly off since I am taking these directly from Gramm vote count posts. I do know that CP and RDK did change their vote at one point and went back voting fang and possibly others as well, but the sake of keeping things organized in my head I will be splitting the players based on that vote tallies posted by gram.

Yoshi, Arp, CP, Alco, RDK . These guys stayed on Fang from the get go to the end.

Let's start with Arp who I town read actually. Mostly because of his demeanor and how he approached the situation. He got caught in similar situation as Fang last time I played with him and seeing how he was able to gauge the situation and learn from his past experience and see resemblance to on other players striked me as townie. He is calm and collected and seems to be having fun. As scum he would be more on edge and afraid to be himself I suppose?

Alco is another guy in the list who if I had to give a read now, it would be a faint townie read. I felt throughout the game he was paying attention. Making good points on some players as to why he likes them. Giving reasons behind his thoughts which I thought looked good. He also showcased that he is very cautious regarding how players approach him. This can be faked but I would think scum would welcome townie reads with open arms.

RDK I actually still town read despite that weird change of vote ending of the game??? I thought he was very straightforward with his approaches in the game so far. Especially when he interacted with Fang in the beginning. That interaction felt very townie for me. Which to be honest that read carried with me until the end of the DP when he tried to save an indie and went for tweet if memory serves me right? that entire wagon on tweet feels like some weak ass sauce. Didn't really make sense. This is honestly shaken my read abit on the guy but townies in the midst of chaos tend to be more on the paranoia side of things, need to give a proper read on D2 and see if he maintain the same aura I got from him dp1.

Yoshi and CP are pretty null to me with CP being on the scum lean of it. But let's start with Yoshi, his posts honestly feel kinda robotic, and pretty selective. But I did not sense any malicious intentions behind his posts. But maybe I can't tell due to just how he formats and present himself generally speaking.

CP on other hand, felt like he is riding the waves as the game progress. He showed he has big boner for our friend poyser here. I didn't like some of his posts as I was reading, mainly being afraid to commit to a player he viewed as scum and his testing the water to feel if it's safe to move forward with his read. Felt like he was being careful on purpose. For a player who claim to read the game twice, You would think he would have a better grasp or idea on why Fang got lynched, but instead is more than happy to give all the credit to Poyser for reasons ???? the guy did not even end up voting for Fang lol and was actually trying to save him. Not sure if this guy meta is to pocket players to oblivion until he gets on their blind side.


Now, looking at these 4 players could scum possibly be one player among them that hopped on the wagon from the get go? possible and out of these 4 the chances are as of now would be CP and Yoshi. Either one of them or both.



-----------------------------------​

Phenom, Ratchet, T-Pein.

These 3 players hopped into the wagon little later than the 5 players I mentioned above.

Phenom, this guy literally have 15 posts and don't recall seeing much of him. T-Pein asked him to vote for Fang and he did and then dipped off. Nothing he posted strike me as town and his little content provide nothing to me. He jumped into a wagon without really thinking I feel like, scum lean on the guy. I am not familiar with the guy if he would bus his team mate like that.

T-Pein, is a wild card really he feels like he is contributing but wouldn't surprise me if he flipped scum. But I would say there is a decent chance he is townie as well. Null for now.

Ratchet, looking at ratchet interaction with fang it's really hard to view him as scum. There is very little chance that ratchet and fang as team mates would go back and forth like that. Ratchet did pull such stunts where he faked an interaction like this with his scum mate and got townie points for it. But Fang does not strike me as the type of player who would agree to engage or even fake that interaction with ratchet to make ratchet looks better. Due to this, I would say it's safe to put him as of townie right now and revaluate end game if he makes it alive and I make it alive.

If there is a scum in this pile it's in (Phenom, T-Pein)



-----------------------------------​

Evan, Ultra, BLD (X)

Evan, I felt like evan had a strong presence early in DP1 , weak mid presence and then later toward the day he had a semi strong presence again. Didn't like fang claim and went ahead to vote for him. It's a bit challenging getting a read on him at the moment to be honest for my memory ain't helping me much here. Will probably need to ISO him individually. Null

Ultra, I thought he looked pretty townie early in the game. However, the way he handled Fang claim came off as very self conscious of the situation. He wanted to believe fang but didn't want to believe fang. Not sure what he was trying to do exactly. I do remember Alco saying he town read ultra for this because it showed him that ultra is trying to think clearly of the situation and make an appropriate decision. I guess you can see it from that angle, but you also can see the angle that he has TMI and the way he handled the situation came off iffy. I can see him as possible team mate for Fang but not necessarily a priority right now.

BLD, was not going at Fang and matter of fact was okay with letting him survive and was more focused on CP and scum hunting. His scum hunting honestly looked good to me, he was trying to gauge into people and try and get better read and until the very end when he kinda accepted that no other wagon will move forward besides Fang. He switched his vote on Fang and expressed how he didn't wanna vote him but he has no choice. I don't know about you guys, but this honestly striked me as genuine, I don't think scum BLD would do that if he and fang were scum mates, if he faked that then kudos to him because I am biting lol. Townie lean.

-----------------------------------​

Now, let's talk about couple of players I want to mention that didn't vote for Poyser, some did but switched later on when they found out that fang is allegedly indie like poyser.

Poyser, this guys fascinates me. He was pushing for fang all cool and dandy until the dude outed as indie. Poyser didn't stop to think how fang behavior switched 180 from being completely against claiming to start claiming left and right from a mere pressure from ekko. What fascinates me even more is that he went out of his way to out himself as an indie to try and save fang. He pushed for tweet which I thought was some weak sauce push. He claims he is pro townie indie but in the same breath outed as the most vile evil character in the lore. His defense to this is 'I am an experienced player, you think I would do this?' Basically relying on WIFOM trying to push the agenda that he is a good guy. He also could possibly be fang scum mate. For it seems fake claiming indie is the new trend these days. Scum and needs to go as soon as possible, the more bodies he defiles the more power his character grows. Anyone who looks at poyser and think he is good for townies need to be seriously revaluated.

Ekko, he made a theatre trying to save Fang and push it on players I thought looked townie like RDK. The problem here is that I do see ekko doing this as scum or townie. Dude simply does not give a fuck. I need to read more of his posts DP2 for I am having trouble catching up to this damn game.

Dalton is a player who caught my attention while catching up as well for he was trying hard to actually push the wagon away from Fang. It felt almost unnatural and could see him as being his scum mate trying to steer the wagon away.

There are other players I do need to address but this post is getting lengthy enough as it is, so will be breaking it apart and address the others.
Your assessment of my play around Aurelian at the end is incorrect and has already been addressed in the thread. Have you read any of it or any of my play or are you simply just going by vote counts that have already been proven to be wrong?
 

Poyser

Moderator
Moderator
I can’t really catch up now anyway as I’m going to sleep and I’m like 10 pages behind but I’m happy enough with my vote on BPD for the time being
 

Emil

Average Diabellstar Witch Enjoyer
V.I.P. Member
Do we mean a persistent inactive or an actual coaster where he’ll deliberately avoid key phases as scum?
both. he can coast well as scum lol

as town a bit more contributive usually

i have seen him this inactive as both alignemnt is the problem
 
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